2010 Year in Review
The 2010 season was one of the better seasons for tight ends, especially for those who had Atlanta Falcons Tony Gonzalez or Oakland Raiders Zach Miller. However, unlike past seasons for the Philadelphia Eagles with quarterback Donovan McNabb at the helm, the 2010 season was the season of Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Michael Vick. However, that included protecting him consistently to prevent Vick from suffering any major injury down the road. Brent Celek who had a breakout season in 2009 fizzled in 2010 to the disappointment of many of his fantasy football owners. With the competition between the quarterbacks and ultimately the selection of Michael Vick as the starting quarterback for the Philadelphia Eagles, his season was bound not to succeed as he did in 2009. However, his plummet in statistics was the alteration of his role as tight end — primarily a blocker, like Indianapolis Colts Dallas Clark. Unfortunately, unlike Dallas Clark for the Colts with Peyton Manning, Brent Celek was not targeted as a receiver frequently by Michael Vick during the 2010 season.
In 2010, Brent Celek was producing only half of what he did in 2009. He had 42 receptions, 511 yards and 4 touchdowns the entire 2010 season. Whereas in 2009, he had 76 receptions, 971 yards and 8 touchdowns during the 2009 regular season. He was ranked 93rd during the regular season in receiving yards — behind his teammate and running back LeSean McCoy, ranked 69th, with 592 receiving yards. On the bright side, he did tie in receiving yards with Pittsburgh Steelers Heath Miller and twice as many touchdowns as he did. For comparison, from his 2009 regular season, Brent Celek was ranked 26th in total receiving yards, second among tight ends and only behind Indianapolis Colts tight end Dallas Clark. Additionally, his 8 touchdowns at that time ranked him 16th, tied for fourth among tight ends and in the company of San Diego Chargers tight end Antonio Gates. Lastly, from Brent Celek’s 2009 to 2010 season, his average yardage per reception did not decrease much. He dropped slightly from 12.8 to 12.2. As you can see, Brent Celek’s numbers have fallen tremendously from what he did in 2009. Will 2011 be any better?
2011 Outlook and Beyond
Even if Brent Celek recovers statistically a bit this upcoming season, I think he will be in for quite a few more slumping seasons like in 2010 until his contract expires in 2016. Perhaps Michael Vick and Brent Celek will develop some sort of chemistry before then. In the meantime, Celek will still play as a member of a team and root the team on, but he won’t be the same tight end of his stellar 2009 season. If Michael Vick is still the quarterback by then, Celek might and quite possibly will consider a trade. By that time, some quarterbacks, such as St. Louis Rams Sam Bradford or future draftee Stanford Cardinals Andrew Luck, should be reaching their full potential and would benefit from a veteran, physical tight end like Brent Celek on their team.
2011 Fantasy Football Tight End Prospect
Given the available talent for tight ends, I believe he will be worth no more than a low to solid TE2. If there are better tight ends out there in the draft, get them first before Brent Celek because Celek will be nothing more than a consolation prize. He is a solid tight end with his physical nature and dedication to the sport, even during the work stoppage. However, his chemistry with Michael Vick, the soon-to-be-departure of Kevin Kolb and his evolved role as a blocker, he will be limited. He should be capable of putting up solid TE2 numbers, primarily during the first half of the 2011 (full) season. However, the Philadelphia Eagles schedule becomes much tougher during the second half, and he should be heavily relied on as a blocker. By that time, he should be nothing more than reserve on the bench or a 2-for-1 trade at best. Alone as a trade, he won’t be worth too much at that point.